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Red70
570017.0
60429.5
84625.5
Blue75
330927.2
265923.2
210220.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838370758085907075

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#15
29.50.8
30.229.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End8.9
red by 2.3
3309
#14
27.20.4
30.830.3
Auto3.8
Teleop17.8
End5.6
Second
846
#31
25.50.8
29.328.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.9
End6.1
red by 2.3
2659
#29
23.20.4
27.026.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.7
End6.4
Third
5700
#40
17.00.8
19.518.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End3.1
blue by 3.5
2102
#27
20.50.4
21.020.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed25%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned