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Red84
594014.5
292820.1
167834.7
Blue75
60429.5
321818.8
97219.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747465707580858475

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.9
38.339.2
Auto3.7
Teleop23.8
End7.3
red by 5.2
604
#15
29.50.4
29.429.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End8.9
Second
2928
#13
20.10.9
19.620.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End5.5
red by 0.8
972
#33
19.30.4
19.019.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Third
5940
#23
14.50.9
11.912.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End3.9
blue by 4.3
3218
#30
18.80.4
21.321.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
82%Rocket oddsEarned9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned