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Red55
186821.8
265923.2
64924.9
Blue83
167120.7
364724.0
97328.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8080556570755583

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#22
24.91.4
27.926.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.0
blue by 3.3
973
#16
28.20.5
31.431.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End7.3
Second
2659
#29
23.21.4
26.525.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.7
End6.4
blue by 0.8
3647
#20
24.00.5
24.525.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.6
End2.2
Third
1868
#28
21.81.4
21.019.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End7.3
red by 1.1
1671
#26
20.70.5
19.620.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsMissed30%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned