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Red52
107215.4
594014.5
204621.5
Blue58
49819.2
69621.4
64924.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53670204060801005258

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#24
21.50.1
23.523.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End4.9
blue by 3.4
649
#22
24.90.4
25.925.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End7.0
Second
1072
#39
15.40.1
15.315.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 6.0
696
#38
21.40.4
18.818.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End6.6
Third
5940
#23
14.50.1
11.211.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End3.9
blue by 4.7
498
#21
19.20.4
18.818.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsEarned