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Red70
210220.5
321818.8
581827.9
Blue87
255719.1
186821.8
502626.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7365204060801007087

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5818
#17
27.90.1
26.226.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End6.0
red by 1.6
5026
#19
26.31.5
25.026.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
Second
2102
#27
20.50.1
20.820.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End7.2
blue by 1.3
1868
#28
21.81.5
19.421.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End7.3
Third
3218
#30
18.80.1
21.621.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 0.3
2557
#18
19.11.5
16.718.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed16%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned91%HAB Docking oddsEarned