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Red68
40127.6
171919.8
379323.4
Blue53
299825.4
447221.8
374820.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747740601001206853

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#12
27.60.2
26.826.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.5
End6.3
red by 2.2
2998
#40
25.41.4
27.726.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End4.8
Second
3793
#11
23.40.2
23.623.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
red by 1.6
4472
#39
21.81.4
23.522.2
Auto3.0
Teleop15.1
End3.8
Third
1719
#41
19.80.2
20.019.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End6.9
blue by 0.9
3748
#24
20.71.4
22.020.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed