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Red56
161024.6
393918.3
688212.7
Blue64
291416.3
38425.1
141825.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60732040801005664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#29
24.60.2
25.224.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End4.9
blue by 1.2
25.80.3
26.125.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End4.5
Second
3939
#42
18.30.2
18.618.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.6
blue by 6.8
384
#17
25.10.3
26.225.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.8
End7.9
Third
6882
#53
12.70.2
13.012.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End3.2
blue by 3.6
2914
#43
16.30.3
16.716.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed66%HAB Docking oddsEarned