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Red52
558724.7
688212.7
33921.4
Blue51
34631.3
32748.0
111116.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58642040801005251

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#22
24.70.2
21.721.5
Auto5.9
Teleop15.2
End3.7
blue by 6.5
346
#19
31.30.6
34.233.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.3
End8.6
Second
339
#27
21.40.2
16.416.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End5.7
red by 5.0
1111
#50
16.40.6
15.314.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.8
Third
6882
#53
12.70.2
17.216.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End3.2
red by 4.7
3274
#58
8.00.6
10.910.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed92%HAB Docking oddsMissed