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Red90
284922.1
219925.1
188528.1
Blue67
38425.1
141325.9
409918.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7575708085909067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#21
28.11.2
27.528.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.4
End4.3
red by 2.1
1413
#45
25.90.3
23.723.4
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End4.0
Second
2199
#36
25.11.2
25.827.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End8.3
blue by 0.1
384
#17
25.10.3
26.826.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.8
End7.9
Third
2849
#35
22.11.2
18.219.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End3.2
red by 3.3
4099
#55
18.80.3
20.620.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsMissed89%HAB Docking oddsEarned