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Red59
424222.2
299825.4
108616.6
Blue65
291220.7
291416.3
554620.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66582040801005965

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2998
#40
25.40.3
27.327.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End4.8
red by 4.7
2912
#20
20.70.7
20.721.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.4
End6.3
Second
4242
#28
22.20.3
21.821.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End4.9
red by 2.0
5546
#31
20.20.7
19.219.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.1
End6.5
Third
1086
#30
16.60.3
13.813.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End3.9
red by 0.3
2914
#43
16.30.7
15.015.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned