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Red81
141325.9
299825.4
54023.7
Blue85
33921.4
162927.1
393918.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7561203040507080901008185

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1413
#45
25.90.7
23.424.1
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End4.0
blue by 1.2
27.11.8
24.526.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End6.8
Second
2998
#40
25.40.7
27.027.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End4.8
red by 3.9
339
#27
21.41.8
16.218.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End5.7
Third
540
#26
23.70.7
20.321.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End5.3
red by 5.4
3939
#42
18.31.8
16.718.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsEarned