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Red65
141825.8
61932.9
393918.3
Blue63
34631.3
68617.9
424222.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708140601001206563

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#6
32.90.1
25.825.7
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End7.4
red by 1.6
346
#19
31.30.9
35.134.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.3
End8.6
Second
25.80.1
23.823.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End4.5
red by 3.6
4242
#28
22.20.9
22.721.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End4.9
Third
3939
#42
18.30.1
17.016.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.6
red by 0.4
686
#52
17.90.9
18.918.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned