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Red77
40127.6
111116.4
61429.6
Blue73
393918.3
219925.1
54023.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777040601001207773

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#23
29.60.2
31.131.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End7.1
red by 4.5
2199
#36
25.10.4
26.827.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End8.3
Second
401
#12
27.60.2
24.725.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.5
End6.3
red by 3.9
540
#26
23.70.4
22.923.3
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Third
1111
#50
16.40.2
17.517.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.8
blue by 1.9
3939
#42
18.30.4
17.017.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsEarned