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Red81
171919.8
393918.3
299825.4
Blue83
53920.6
83628.7
284922.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69684060801008183

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2998
#40
25.40.8
27.628.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End4.8
blue by 3.3
836
#1
28.71.2
26.327.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End7.6
Second
1719
#41
19.80.8
19.920.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End6.9
blue by 2.3
2849
#35
22.11.2
19.921.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Third
3939
#42
18.30.8
17.918.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.6
blue by 2.3
539
#57
20.61.2
18.319.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned75%HAB Docking oddsEarned