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Red127
331038.1
94826.3
25440.7
Blue100
132345.4
502628.0
97336.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071136080100120140127100

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
40.70.6
39.339.9
Auto4.8
Teleop26.9
End9.0
blue by 4.7
1323
Unranked
45.40.2
44.344.1
Auto3.5
Teleop32.6
End9.3
Second
3310
Unranked
38.10.6
36.737.2
Auto4.3
Teleop25.1
End8.6
red by 1.3
973
Unranked
36.70.2
35.635.5
Auto5.3
Teleop23.0
End8.5
Third
948
Unranked
26.30.6
25.826.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End6.9
blue by 1.7
5026
Unranked
28.00.2
26.926.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End9.8