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Red101
17933.7
49822.9
97139.2
Blue85
212233.9
419221.9
204635.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100932040608012014016018010185

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
Unranked
39.20.0
38.938.9
Auto5.5
Teleop25.0
End8.7
red by 4.1
2046
Unranked
35.10.1
34.234.1
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End7.2
Second
179
Unranked
33.70.0
33.433.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End6.2
blue by 0.1
2122
Unranked
33.90.1
33.032.9
Auto3.4
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Third
498
Unranked
22.90.0
22.622.6
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End4.6
red by 1.0
4192
Unranked
21.90.1
21.321.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End6.7