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Red25
66211.4
225911.7
557818.7
Blue42
224025.9
380713.3
747912.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40461020305060702542

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5578
#43
18.71.0
15.414.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 7.2
25.90.1
24.724.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End7.6
Second
2259
#49
11.71.4
10.38.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End3.4
blue by 1.6
3807
#20
13.30.2
8.88.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Third
662
#37
11.40.9
11.810.8
Auto5.6
Teleop3.7
End2.1
blue by 1.4
7479
#42
12.70.2
10.09.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsMissed