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Red72
494423.1
130312.6
62426.8
Blue21
17999.7
748511.4
320017.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59372030405070807221

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#21
26.80.9
25.626.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.4
End6.3
red by 9.5
3200
#18
17.41.5
13.712.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End4.1
Second
4944
#11
23.11.5
18.820.3
Auto4.4
Teleop17.0
End1.8
red by 11.7
7485
#52
11.41.5
8.77.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End2.3
Third
1303
#46
12.61.5
11.412.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.1
red by 2.8
1799
#24
9.71.5
12.210.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed