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Red55
226113.4
315823.4
789116.4
Blue43
565713.8
203614.1
158415.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5241203060705543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.2
21.021.2
Auto5.6
Teleop14.4
End3.4
red by 7.9
1584
#48
15.50.5
15.415.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End4.8
Second
7891
#12
16.40.4
12.913.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End4.7
red by 2.3
2036
#16
14.10.5
13.113.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
2261
#14
13.40.4
14.915.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End3.3
blue by 0.4
5657
#35
13.80.5
10.410.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed