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Red40
576313.0
158315.5
15912.9
Blue74
141026.8
317212.2
62426.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3864203050607080904074

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1583
#34
15.50.1
13.013.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End4.1
blue by 11.4
1410
#13
26.80.7
24.625.3
Auto4.1
Teleop21.0
End1.8
Second
5763
#45
13.00.1
10.810.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End2.3
blue by 13.8
624
#21
26.80.7
26.427.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.4
End6.3
Third
159
#19
12.90.1
12.212.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 0.7
3172
#23
12.21.1
9.910.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed