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Red47
459320.3
115712.6
203614.1
Blue45
43867.3
429323.6
380713.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47480204060801004745

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#15
20.30.2
18.618.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.5
End3.4
blue by 3.3
23.60.0
25.925.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.3
End3.6
Second
2036
#16
14.10.3
12.312.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End2.5
red by 0.8
3807
#20
13.30.0
11.711.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Third
1157
#33
12.60.3
13.513.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End2.7
red by 5.3
4386
#50
7.30.0
7.47.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed