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Red81
161935.6
317212.2
299626.2
Blue45
226113.4
62426.8
115712.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755840507080901008145

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.5
34.635.1
Auto3.8
Teleop21.6
End10.3
red by 8.8
624
#21
26.80.6
27.026.4
Auto6.2
Teleop14.4
End6.3
Second
26.20.5
25.425.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.9
End5.3
red by 12.8
2261
#14
13.40.9
13.812.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End3.3
Third
3172
#23
12.20.7
10.911.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End1.9
blue by 0.4
1157
#33
12.60.9
13.812.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsEarned7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed