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Red35
337417.9
328813.1
37297.8
Blue54
789116.4
158315.5
380713.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414220305060703554

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#27
17.90.4
18.718.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End3.3
red by 1.5
7891
#12
16.41.4
15.016.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End4.7
Second
3288
#30
13.10.4
13.012.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End3.3
blue by 2.4
1583
#34
15.51.4
13.114.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End4.1
Third
3729
#53
7.80.4
7.16.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
blue by 5.5
3807
#20
13.31.4
11.713.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsEarned