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Red68
99916.0
19028.9
676213.9
Blue36
634614.5
574613.1
318215.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513701020306070806836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
28.91.3
25.426.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.7
End10.0
red by 13.4
3182
#35
15.60.1
14.114.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Second
999
#26
16.01.3
11.012.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.6
red by 1.5
6346
#30
14.50.1
12.012.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End2.3
Third
6762
#14
13.91.3
11.512.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End3.6
red by 0.8
5746
#29
13.10.1
8.78.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed