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Red48
574613.1
769416.2
676213.9
Blue41
278513.6
17518.4
633313.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414620305060704841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7694
#15
16.20.6
16.116.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End5.2
blue by 2.3
175
#32
18.40.2
19.219.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End4.0
Second
6762
#14
13.90.6
12.813.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End3.6
red by 0.3
2785
#27
13.60.2
11.211.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Third
5746
#29
13.10.6
10.310.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Level
6333
#36
13.10.2
12.912.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed