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Red47
363411.1
199120.7
217011.1
Blue73
283621.7
19028.9
457214.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396420804773

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#20
20.70.6
18.118.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
blue by 8.2
190
#4
28.90.9
28.028.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.7
End10.0
Second
3634
#22
11.10.6
11.812.4
Auto2.5
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 10.7
21.70.9
19.920.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End6.3
Third
2170
#31
11.10.6
7.58.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 3.8
4572
#23
14.90.9
12.213.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsEarned