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Red55
568614.7
23030.9
19028.9
Blue47
363411.1
371916.7
18123.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776020401005547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
30.91.4
29.828.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.6
End7.9
red by 7.2
181
#9
23.70.8
25.424.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End8.2
Second
190
#4
28.91.4
28.927.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.7
End10.0
red by 12.2
3719
#37
16.70.8
18.517.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.9
Third
5686
#19
14.71.4
14.212.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End4.4
red by 3.6
3634
#22
11.10.8
12.411.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned