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Red62
217011.1
634614.5
712722.2
Blue65
283621.7
633313.1
681113.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444902060806265

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.4
20.221.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End8.5
red by 0.4
21.70.2
20.720.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End6.3
Second
6346
#30
14.51.4
13.114.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End2.3
red by 0.6
6811
#25
13.90.2
13.012.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Third
2170
#31
11.11.4
8.19.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 2.0
6333
#36
13.10.2
12.812.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed