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Red96
19531.8
17731.5
199120.7
Blue58
22823.2
217011.1
574613.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83492040601009658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#5
31.80.9
29.130.0
Auto4.3
Teleop20.6
End6.9
red by 8.6
228
#11
23.20.8
25.125.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
Second
177
#3
31.50.9
30.431.3
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End5.8
red by 18.4
5746
#29
13.10.8
12.012.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Third
1991
#20
20.70.9
19.620.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
red by 9.7
2170
#31
11.10.8
9.510.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned44%HAB Docking oddsEarned