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Red56
633313.1
786914.7
18123.7
Blue74
715311.9
23030.9
740727.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54693040506080901005674

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#9
23.70.3
24.624.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End8.2
blue by 7.2
230
#1
30.90.6
28.429.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.6
End7.9
Second
7869
#17
14.70.3
14.414.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 12.9
27.70.6
24.825.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.9
End5.4
Third
6333
#36
13.10.3
12.512.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End3.2
red by 1.2
7153
#33
11.90.6
12.312.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsEarned