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Red58
634614.5
23030.9
278513.6
Blue98
457214.9
363411.1
17731.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59603040507080905898

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
30.90.2
29.029.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.6
End7.9
blue by 0.6
177
#3
31.50.1
31.331.2
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End5.8
Second
6346
#30
14.50.2
13.814.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End2.3
blue by 0.4
4572
#23
14.90.1
14.013.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End0.9
Third
2785
#27
13.60.2
12.712.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End3.5
red by 2.5
3634
#22
11.10.1
11.611.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsMissed