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Red54
112411.5
19531.8
633313.1
Blue55
746211.7
199120.7
568614.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5848102030407080905455

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#5
31.80.0
30.030.0
Auto4.3
Teleop20.6
End6.9
red by 11.1
1991
#20
20.70.7
20.521.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
Second
6333
#36
13.10.0
12.812.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End3.2
blue by 1.6
5686
#19
14.70.7
13.514.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End4.4
Third
1124
#38
11.50.0
11.611.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End2.4
blue by 0.1
7462
#34
11.70.7
11.111.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsEarned