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Red48
22823.2
676213.9
786914.7
Blue76
18123.7
206722.3
99916.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58652040801004876

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#11
23.20.4
25.625.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
blue by 0.5
181
#9
23.70.1
25.325.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End8.2
Second
7869
#17
14.70.4
14.714.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 7.6
2067
#10
22.30.1
21.021.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.6
End7.7
Third
6762
#14
13.90.4
14.313.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End3.6
blue by 2.1
999
#26
16.00.1
15.715.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned