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Red76
59188.7
52533.3
495919.8
Blue27
99998.6
198416.2
18479.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644020801007627

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
33.30.9
31.332.2
Auto5.6
Teleop17.1
End10.6
red by 17.0
1984
#36
16.21.3
17.616.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
4959
#12
19.80.9
20.321.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.6
End4.1
red by 10.7
1847
#50
9.11.3
11.510.2
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End2.8
Third
8.70.9
8.59.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End3.7
Level
9999
#37
8.61.3
8.97.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed