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Red50
198628.9
171013.4
432923.9
Blue64
176913.2
256017.5
182521.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7254204060801005064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#10
28.91.2
28.026.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End8.5
red by 7.5
1825
#18
21.40.9
20.221.1
Auto3.1
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Second
23.91.2
24.022.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End8.8
red by 6.4
2560
#28
17.50.9
16.917.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Third
1710
#25
13.41.2
15.714.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
red by 0.2
1769
#29
13.20.9
13.814.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed