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Red47
198213.0
193922.2
272315.5
Blue39
18479.1
379215.9
641916.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57452040801004739

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.5
24.123.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End5.8
red by 5.3
6419
#33
16.90.4
16.415.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End5.2
Second
2723
#43
15.50.5
17.216.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End3.4
blue by 0.4
3792
#32
15.90.4
16.716.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Third
1982
#41
13.00.5
12.512.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End2.4
red by 3.9
1847
#50
9.10.4
9.79.2
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed