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Red42
635919.3
233511.8
110810.0
Blue46
509812.8
9377.4
198724.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384202060801001201401604246

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6359
#19
19.30.4
16.917.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 5.3
1987
#24
24.60.4
21.021.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End5.3
Second
2335
#16
11.80.4
10.510.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 1.0
5098
#38
12.80.4
13.313.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End4.0
Third
1108
#49
10.00.4
8.99.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.9
red by 2.5
937
#44
7.40.4
5.35.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed