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Red43
180214.5
46468.5
580123.5
Blue33
359311.7
178513.2
501316.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5147102030406070804333

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.6
24.123.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.3
End7.1
red by 7.4
5013
#39
16.10.8
18.517.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End5.7
Second
1802
#27
14.50.6
13.913.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End5.9
red by 1.3
1785
#40
13.20.8
13.012.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End2.6
Third
4646
#47
8.50.6
10.39.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.9
blue by 3.2
3593
#35
11.70.8
13.112.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed