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Red49
99853.5
181019.2
642423.1
Blue40
99998.6
235715.4
198213.0
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453610203040506070804940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.4
23.023.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End9.5
red by 7.7
2357
#23
15.40.4
14.715.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End1.1
Second
1810
#26
19.20.4
17.918.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End5.3
red by 6.3
1982
#41
13.00.4
12.112.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Third
9985
#48
3.50.4
1.52.0
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.5
End1.2
blue by 5.1
9999
#37
8.60.4
7.27.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed