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Red30
68178.6
172311.9
511910.7
Blue39
198628.9
509812.8
193922.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33690204060801003039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#46
11.90.1
12.712.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 17.0
1986
#10
28.92.0
27.926.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End8.5
Second
5119
#21
10.70.1
11.511.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End2.8
blue by 11.6
22.22.0
23.721.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End5.8
Third
6817
#22
8.60.1
7.37.2
Auto3.8
Teleop1.2
End3.6
blue by 4.2
5098
#38
12.82.0
13.711.8
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsMissed