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Red49
509812.8
177515.6
180214.5
Blue64
452222.2
182521.4
59188.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425510203050607080904964

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#30
15.60.6
14.114.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End3.8
blue by 6.6
4522
#17
22.20.8
22.122.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End7.3
Second
1802
#27
14.50.6
13.013.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End5.9
blue by 6.9
1825
#18
21.40.8
22.223.0
Auto3.1
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Third
5098
#38
12.80.6
12.513.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End4.0
red by 4.2
8.70.8
7.58.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned58%HAB Docking oddsEarned