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Red60
256017.5
99998.6
241023.9
Blue36
511910.7
110810.0
272315.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50401020306070806036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#15
23.90.8
22.723.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End8.4
red by 8.4
2723
#43
15.50.3
16.215.9
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Second
2560
#28
17.50.8
17.218.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.3
red by 6.9
5119
#21
10.70.3
12.011.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End2.8
Third
9999
#37
8.60.8
8.08.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End3.2
blue by 1.3
1108
#49
10.00.3
9.89.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed