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Red29
172311.9
46468.5
198416.2
Blue65
235715.4
198724.6
641916.9
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425720801002965

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1984
#36
16.20.7
16.916.2
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 8.3
1987
#24
24.60.7
22.523.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End5.3
Second
1723
#46
11.90.7
12.812.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 5.0
6419
#33
16.90.7
16.216.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End5.2
Third
4646
#47
8.50.7
9.68.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.9
blue by 6.9
2357
#23
15.40.7
15.716.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed52%HAB Docking oddsMissed