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Red43
17519.2
346417.0
23717.3
Blue25
77608.3
21707.6
331416.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443520304050604325

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#26
19.20.1
14.714.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End5.7
red by 2.3
3314
#11
16.90.9
16.015.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End5.5
Second
237
#12
17.30.1
13.213.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End3.2
red by 9.0
7760
#38
8.30.9
5.74.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End2.1
Third
3464
#20
17.00.1
14.214.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End5.3
red by 9.5
2170
#39
7.60.9
11.110.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed