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Red47
199118.3
57117.6
514210.3
Blue23
283617.1
11249.8
206718.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374320304050604723

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.3
13.114.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End7.2
blue by 0.2
2067
#23
18.52.0
14.412.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.3
End4.8
Second
571
#9
17.61.3
11.112.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End4.4
red by 0.4
2836
#19
17.12.0
17.515.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.8
Third
5142
#31
10.31.3
10.712.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.5
End2.8
red by 0.5
1124
#37
9.82.0
9.17.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsMissed