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Red35
465316.0
346115.5
22820.1
Blue58
17727.7
585616.8
99910.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374620305060703558

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#16
20.10.0
13.713.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End2.1
blue by 7.6
177
#3
27.71.6
21.423.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End7.7
Second
4653
#24
16.00.0
8.98.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.2
blue by 0.9
5856
#17
16.81.6
11.813.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End3.1
Third
3461
#29
15.50.0
12.712.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End3.5
red by 5.4
999
#35
10.11.6
10.712.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsEarned