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Red39
352511.5
672317.1
83910.2
Blue43
405514.3
18120.6
23025.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374920304060703943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6723
#15
17.10.4
11.511.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.5
blue by 7.9
230
#4
25.00.4
19.919.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End6.8
Second
3525
#34
11.50.4
11.111.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 9.1
181
#5
20.60.4
13.212.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End5.9
Third
839
#27
10.20.4
12.713.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 4.2
4055
#21
14.30.4
13.413.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsMissed