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Red85
333923.4
151927.5
30230.2
Blue95
7833.9
321122.3
23729.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878675808590958595

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#31
30.20.2
29.129.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End6.3
blue by 3.7
78
#4
33.90.7
31.432.1
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End7.4
Second
1519
#10
27.50.2
31.731.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End6.5
blue by 2.2
237
#30
29.70.7
27.328.0
Auto3.6
Teleop22.0
End4.2
Third
3339
#21
23.40.2
21.521.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End6.1
red by 1.1
3211
#22
22.30.7
23.223.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
48%Rocket oddsMissed48%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
100%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned