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Red75
402826.3
584720.3
23027.1
Blue68
586515.8
428517.8
49426.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826440601007568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#24
27.10.2
30.230.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End6.9
red by 1.1
494
#33
26.00.3
27.728.0
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End4.6
Second
4028
#23
26.30.2
28.027.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End7.5
red by 8.5
4285
#37
17.80.3
17.818.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End5.2
Third
5847
#49
20.30.2
19.219.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End6.2
red by 4.5
5865
#64
15.80.3
15.215.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
27%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsMissed