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Red111
32923.9
96728.5
102331.4
Blue81
759821.2
310225.6
260729.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88796010012011181

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.41.6
28.530.1
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End7.3
red by 1.7
2607
#19
29.70.4
30.230.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End8.8
Second
967
#42
28.51.6
30.432.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.2
End6.0
red by 2.9
3102
#44
25.60.4
26.126.5
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End7.9
Third
329
#14
23.91.6
24.926.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End7.4
red by 2.7
7598
#67
21.20.4
18.719.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned19%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsEarned